Among the myriad of various ironies to choose from as it relates to the current GOP nomination, perhaps the greatest of them is that there is a very real possibility that the outcome will be determined by the voting public who consider themselves Democrats.
Of course I'm speaking primarily of the recent news that there is a statistical 4-way dead heat in a poll which was aimed strictly at Iowans likely to vote in the GOP presidential caucus. The poll had a error margin of 4.4% (meaning any of the numbers could swing 4.4 % points in either direction.), and with Cain at 20%, Ron Paul at 19%, Romney at 18% and Gingrich at 17%, this means that when you toss in the margin for error, this race belongs to any of these guys now.
For those that don't know, Iowa is one of the "must win" states in a Presidential race for reasons to numerous to go into in this posting. When you couple the importance of Iowa with this recent poll aimed strictly at likely GOP voters in the caucus, it becomes no surprise that a statistical 4-way dead heat is getting so much buzz in the mainstream media and the blogosphere.
Perhaps one of the most interesting things about this particular news story, is that while it has been one of the worst polls Paul has performed in (usually taking a fairly commanding lead in nearly every poll he appears in), it also seems to be the one which is giving him the greatest boost as far as public opinion goes. After this poll came out, the opinion held by most people in America seems to be that he has a very real chance at taking the nomination.
So now with this recent development, and massive boost to the Paul campaign we have a 4-way dead heat. Cain, Paul, Romney or Gingrich. This bodes exceptionally well for the Paul campaign or two reasons. The first, is that when campaigns get this close they become incredibly expensive. This works for Paul of course because not only has he built up a pretty enviable sized war chest among the candidates, but he's also done so remarkably, by grassroots "moneybomb" efforts coming from floods of individual citizens. Compare this to the the other candidates, who have gotten the majority of their money from the two groups which have become the recipients of American scorn from both the left and the right…. Wall St & The Banks. Call into question where they have been receiving their campaign contributions from and suffice it to say I don't see it being warmly received by the indignant American voter, eager to send nearly any politician they can to the unemployment line for any reason whatsoever.
The second reason is that when campaigns get this close, they become ugly, even to the point of character assassination. What could possibly be better for a candidate like Paul (if there's ever been a candidate like Paul), who has a sterling and consistent voting record which is perfectly in harmony with the Constitution, who has a sterling personal and political background (What? You don't think they've been desperately trying to dig something up on him since at least his 2008 run for President?!?!) , and who has been warning of and offering solutions to our current economic crisis for perhaps longer than the author of this article has been alive?
Still, with all this recent news working tremendously to Paul's advantage, there's an old adage that says something about not counting chickens before one's eggs are hatched. It would be unwise at this time for those who support Paul to do anything but re-double their efforts at such a crucial time. Even so however, there is still no absolute guarantee of victory. Which leads me back to the great irony, that there is a very real possibility that the outcome of this GOP nomination and subsequent Presidential election may rest almost entirely in the hands of those voters who consider themselves Democrats.
Fortunately, for those of us who are favorable to ending wars and occupations, for those of us who disagree with imprisoning non-violent "criminals" for drug related "offenses" in which no person was the subject to loss harm or injury of person, limb or property, for those of us who disagree with putting the public Trillions upon Trillions of dollars into debt just so politician's buddies over in the weapons manufacturing industry can make a tidy sum, for those of us who like the idea of letting the banks fail instead of bailing them out with our own money, for those of us who value common sense and compassion for our fellow man, for those of us who disagree with the death penalty particularly in a time when we are discovering so many people who were sentenced to death row only later to have their innocence discovered... and, for those of us who could use a 25% pay increase from our current wages (this of course happening by eliminating the Federal Income Tax which, as was shown in the Grace Commission Report "not one nickel of the Federal Income Tax goes to providing the basic services the people expect from their government such as roads, schools...")…which, I'll remind you could be used to buy an awful lot of health insurance… fortunately there is already, The Blue Republicans. A group which allows for the disenchanted Democrat to still vote on their primary values and beliefs, and to say to both the Republican party… "THIS… is what you should be doing." And to the Democratic party, "THIS… is what happens when you don't deliver on your campaign promises"…All while maintaining their identity as a Democrat (or Independent) and perhaps altering the way in which politics is conducted in America for a very long time to come.
I could go into length here about what a major influence this single group could prove to be in this election, however I find this just as appropriate a time to provide a link, and allow the reader and the group itself to get to know each other a little better.
Enjoy: http://www.bluerepublican.org/
Happy Trails...
*Note: The author of this writing is in no way affiliated with the Blue Republican movement, nor do any of their views or opinions expressed in the past, present or future necessarily constitute his own. Nor do any of the views or opinions expressed here necessarily represent those of the Blue Republican organization.*
Thanks Liberty. You might want to check out this slightly different Green Republican strategy:
ReplyDeletehttp://progressivesforronpaul.blogspot.com/2011/08/this-blog-is-not-about-endorsing.html